RoastedLinuxThe Rookies
July 9th 2010 02:19
Rookies Who MIGHT Make a Difference
Have you noticed how hard it is to get your daily dose of fantasy football news in the midst of the Lebron Mania? Oh yeah, and that little soccer thing over in Africa. Don't people have priorities anymore?!
Anyway. I had some time recently to pore over statistics and read inane articles in fantasy football magazines. I spent some hours reading pithy accounts of rookies' potential first years...
They're as random as the Lebron predictions over the last few weeks. Cleveland? Miami? Chicago?
Exactly. Let's start in Cleveland. Cleveland drafted Montario Hardesty, who could be a big contributor. IF IF IF Jerome Harrison gets hurt or loses a step. Can you imagine Harrison letting the job go after waiting this long to get it?! Not me. Hardesty would have to man up in a big way, avoid the injury bug he's been suffering with for years, and become Mr. Spectacular. Stay away from Hardesty.
Stay away from Chicago, too.
No rookies to report in Miami, either.
So Lebron isn't a good gauge of football talent. Go figure.
So let's go find them. First, Detroit. Jahvid Best is the best bet for talent and fantasy production. He's talented and the situation is ripe for him. Kevin Smith might push to keep his spot, but Smith's had two years to produce and hasn't.
Ryan Mathews, San Diego. He's in a good spot, too. His only obstacle is Sproles, and Sproles is at the tail-end of his own career, so Mathews will be drafted early, especially in Dynasty leagues.
Stay away from rookie WR's. It's the diamond in the rough who produces in season #1. The only rookie WR to produce recently was Eddie Royal in 2008. I had him. The next year, as you know, he bombed big-time. Coach's fault. No wonder Marshall left.
Stay away from rookie QB's, too. Bradford is tempting, as is Clausen, but unless you have a deep bench, and can hold them for two years, don't plan for championship production.
C J Spiller is an interesting prospect.The biggest problem there is that Buffalo has a way of destroying good running backs, and under-utilizing them when they're good. It's like all the coaches since Levy haven't got a clue. Case in point - Fred Jackson. Lynch has a suspension, so Jackson starts having a monster season. He has spectacular stats, and is just running all over people. And then Lynch's suspension ends, and guess what? Jackson gets benched. I'm sure that did wonders for his mental state. It's like "Hey! Whatta you gotta do to get on the field?!" Oh, that's right. Lynch has a bigger salary. I forgot. Anyway, I'd like to say I wouldn't touch Spiller, but if he's still available by the end of the second round and all the other starting RB's are gone, I might take him.
Ben Tate might be the 3rd best choice. Right now, it sounds like Arian Foster, an undrafted free agent in 2009, has the lead for the starting position. So Tate might have to wait, and if Tate waits, why draft him early? I'd watch that situation closely. Actually, I AM watching that situation. I thought Foster looked pretty good at the end of last season. He won me a championship in one league.
Have you noticed how hard it is to get your daily dose of fantasy football news in the midst of the Lebron Mania? Oh yeah, and that little soccer thing over in Africa. Don't people have priorities anymore?!
Anyway. I had some time recently to pore over statistics and read inane articles in fantasy football magazines. I spent some hours reading pithy accounts of rookies' potential first years...
They're as random as the Lebron predictions over the last few weeks. Cleveland? Miami? Chicago?
Exactly. Let's start in Cleveland. Cleveland drafted Montario Hardesty, who could be a big contributor. IF IF IF Jerome Harrison gets hurt or loses a step. Can you imagine Harrison letting the job go after waiting this long to get it?! Not me. Hardesty would have to man up in a big way, avoid the injury bug he's been suffering with for years, and become Mr. Spectacular. Stay away from Hardesty.
Stay away from Chicago, too.
No rookies to report in Miami, either.
So Lebron isn't a good gauge of football talent. Go figure.
So let's go find them. First, Detroit. Jahvid Best is the best bet for talent and fantasy production. He's talented and the situation is ripe for him. Kevin Smith might push to keep his spot, but Smith's had two years to produce and hasn't.
Ryan Mathews, San Diego. He's in a good spot, too. His only obstacle is Sproles, and Sproles is at the tail-end of his own career, so Mathews will be drafted early, especially in Dynasty leagues.
Stay away from rookie WR's. It's the diamond in the rough who produces in season #1. The only rookie WR to produce recently was Eddie Royal in 2008. I had him. The next year, as you know, he bombed big-time. Coach's fault. No wonder Marshall left.
Stay away from rookie QB's, too. Bradford is tempting, as is Clausen, but unless you have a deep bench, and can hold them for two years, don't plan for championship production.
C J Spiller is an interesting prospect.The biggest problem there is that Buffalo has a way of destroying good running backs, and under-utilizing them when they're good. It's like all the coaches since Levy haven't got a clue. Case in point - Fred Jackson. Lynch has a suspension, so Jackson starts having a monster season. He has spectacular stats, and is just running all over people. And then Lynch's suspension ends, and guess what? Jackson gets benched. I'm sure that did wonders for his mental state. It's like "Hey! Whatta you gotta do to get on the field?!" Oh, that's right. Lynch has a bigger salary. I forgot. Anyway, I'd like to say I wouldn't touch Spiller, but if he's still available by the end of the second round and all the other starting RB's are gone, I might take him.
Ben Tate might be the 3rd best choice. Right now, it sounds like Arian Foster, an undrafted free agent in 2009, has the lead for the starting position. So Tate might have to wait, and if Tate waits, why draft him early? I'd watch that situation closely. Actually, I AM watching that situation. I thought Foster looked pretty good at the end of last season. He won me a championship in one league.
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